The Health Care Reform Law was a major milestone by most any standard. From what it has proposed to do, to the manner in which it was passed, to the uncertainty of how it will actually affect healthcare in the nation this Law is groundbreaking.
One of the most important features of the Health Care Reform, a feature that was stated over and over again by President Obama and Democrat leadership – we quote the White House on this
“Linda Douglass of the White House Office of Health Reform debunks the myth that reform will force you out of your current insurance plan or force you to change doctors. To the contrary, reform will expand your choices, not eliminate them.”
“…even the addition of a public option will be just that – another option –and will not eliminate any choices to the consumer. To the contrary, this would bring down costs and expand choice.”
This “Reality Check”, and assurance to the public, is now in doubt -again. As we said on Sept. 10, 2009
“But that being said, how likely is it that millions will be forced to change due to employers dropping coverage? Given that we are in a recession, that employers use revenues to pay for employee healthcare instead of going to other costs or profits, and that healthcare is a headache in general I think the answer is obvious.
Employers will opt-out. Not all of them, not all at once. But if an employer has the choice to give the headache and cost to the Government, why not take it? Which is why some estimate up to 114 million could be affected by this Reform.”
The most recent thought on whether or not the public will be able to keep the health care they have, and if businesses will opt-out of providing healthcare, has been answered by the McKinsey Quarterly Report.
“McKinsey, which based its projection on a survey of more than 1,300 employers of various sizes and industries and other proprietary research, found that 30 percent of employers will “definitely” or “probably” stop offering coverage in the years after 2014, when new medical insurance exchanges are supposed to be up and running.
The report goes on to say that employers with “high awareness of the health care law” are up to 50% more likely to drop health care in 2014, when the law starts to work (though, we again note that cost for the Law has already started even though no services are in place).
Thus millions are potentially going to lose their preferred health care coverage, because the choice will not exist. It directly defies the Obama Administration stance and the promise of Democrats across the nation that supported the Health Care Reform Law. Yet it is not a surprise for anyone, like the employers that McKinsey spoke with, who actually reviewed the law – that is not in leadership of the Democrat Party.
We will note that the White House does not agree with our conclusion in 2009, or today. We will note that the Obama Administration refutes the finding of the McKinsey Quarterly Report. But we will also note that the views of the Obama Administration, to date, have often been far from the reality in the economy and general public (see our commentary on the Summer of Recovery).
We ask simple questions, given the highly foreseeable outcome that McKinsey and ourselves among many others stated, if the public knew the dramatic and widespread response by businesses would the outcry against the Health Care Reform been higher? Would the Obama Administration and Democrat leadership still have passed it?
Another question, given the reality of what the Health Care Reform Law is going to cause to happen (as the McKinsey Report has denoted) what other “unlikely” (from the opinion of President Obama and Democrats) outcome is going to hamper the public and remove options and freedoms instead of enhance them?
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