2012 NY State polls as of October 9th

By Michael Vass | October 9, 2012

With the emphasis of attention on the 2012 Presidential election, few are paying attention to the races for Congress and other State and local races. Thus we felt the need to address what is happening in election races local to us.

Nationally, the race for the House of Representatives appears to be in favor of Republicans. They are predicted to win 226 seats versus Democrats 183 seats. The remaining 27 seats to be decided in the 2012 election are currently rated up for grabs. Those races are [New York in bold]:

California Districts: 7, 9, 24, 26, 41, and 57
Colorado District: 6th
Florida Districts: 18 and 26
Iowa Districts: 3 and 4
Illinois Districts: 10,11, 12, and 13
Michigan Districts: 1 and 11
Minnesota District: 8th
North Carolina District: 7th
New Hampshire: 1st
Nevada District: 3rd
New York District: 27th – Chris Collins (challenger) vs Kath Hochul (incumbent)
Ohio District: 16th
Pennsylvania District: 12th
Texas District: 23rd
Utah District: 4th

Currently the House is comprised of 241 Republicans and 194 Democrats, with 218 seats needed to maintain a majority. Thus, even if every seat in contention were to be lost, Republicans are expected to retain the House of Representatives.

In New York:

  • NY1: Bishop (D), NY21: Owens (D), NY25: Slaughter (D), NY24: Buerkle (R), are all considered relatively safe Democrat wins
  • NY11: Grimm (R), NY18: Hayworth (R), NY19: Gibson (R), and the newly created NY22: Hanna (R), are all considered relatively safe Republican wins

    For the Senate, there is a slight edge towards Democrats with 46 versus Republicans with 43 and 11 seats in contention. The current division in the Senate is 53 Democrats – with both Independants voting consistently Democrat – and 47 Republicans.

    The races that are up for grabs are:

    AZ: Open
    CT: Open
    IN: Open
    MA: Brown (incumbent)
    MO: McCaskill (incumbent)
    MT: Tester (incumbent)
    NV: Heller (incumbent)
    ND: Open
    OH: Brown (incumbent)
    VA: Open
    WI: Open

    For New York:

  • Incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand (D) is considered a safe win for Democrats.

    In the NY State Senate, recent polls find that the 15th and 37th Districts are both too close to tell.

    Overall the issues that are on the mind of voters most are:

  • Corruption: 56% find Gov. Cuomo effective and removing corruption in the State and should take the lead in cleaning the State over legislators.
  • Hydrofracking: 45% to 41% in favor of fracking statewide. 72% of Republicans, 54% of Democrats, 49% of NYC suburbs, 48% of Upstate NY, and 41% of NYC are in favor of fracking.
  • Repeal Healthcare: 55% statewide believe that Obamacare should NOT be repealed – 80% of Democrats, 53% of Independents with 72% of Republicans in favor of repeal.
  • State legislators pay: 76% oppose paying State legislators a higher salary, 81% believe that higher pay will not lead to better politicians.
  • Taxing the rich: 40% statewide agree with a tax on those earning $1million of more, 29% agree with taxing households with $250,000, 28% are against any federal tax increase.

    Sources for the above are Politico, Real Clear Politics, Siena College polls, Quinnipiac College polls.

    M V Consulting, Inc does NOT advocate any candidate or incumbent in any local, State, or national election. We seek to provide the broadest coverage and information on each candidate and incumbent so that voters may make an informed decision on how they want to vote – whatever that vote may be.

    Rating 3.00 out of 5

    Related posts:

    1. Latest re-eletion polls for New York State
    2. More polls on the New York mid-term election outlook
    3. Early results of primary elections
    4. 2012 election results
    5. Meet your 2012 election candidates

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