Super Tuesday results

Rating 3.00 out of 5

This will be an ongoing article updating throughout the night as more data becomes available.

As of polls closing at 7pm, the first result of Super Tuesday has been reached. Newt Gingrich is projected to win Georgia.

This is not a surprising result a it has been a major focal point of resurecting his campaign. This is one of the pivotal States for the Gingrich campaign and is inline with out prior predictions on Feb 14th and Feb 29th.

We will add that on Feb 14th we incorrectly stated that Gingrich would be making a play for Virginia. Neither Gingrich nor Rick Santorum are on the ballot in that State. Therefore the battle is between Mitt Romney and Rep. Ron Paul, where Rep. Paul is the surrogate for any dissenting vote against Romney.


  • 7:17pm – Mitt Romney is now projected to win Virginia.
  • This is not shocking news considering the lack of opposition and the relatively weak view of Rep. Ron Paul outside his staunch supporters. What will be telling is the number of votes given to Rep. Ron paul that were made as a statement of opposition against Mitt Romney. The initial outlook was an easy 20pt lead for Romney, which then tightened – which we suspect will be due to Gingrich and Santorum supporters coming out to vote against Romney. This is much like what Santorum had hoped to see happen in Michigan last month (though far more effect now).

    9% reporting in Virginia – 58% Romney, 41% Rep. Ron Paul
    1% reporting in Vermont – 38% Romney, 26.8% Santorum, 24.6% Paul, 8.7% Gingrich


  • 7:46pm – Mitt Romney projected to win Vermont
  • This is the second State that we correctly predicted back on Feb 14th.

    26% reporting in Virginia – 55.9% Romney, 44.1% Rep. Ron Paul

    4% reporting in Vermont – 35.1% Romney, 27.7% Santorum, 27.2% Paul, 7.8% Gingrich

    1% reporting from Georgia – 43.4% Gingrich, 26.2% Santorum, 23.1% Romney, 4.6% Paul


  • 8:01pm – Romney projected to win Massachuesetts, Santorum to win Oklahoma
    We add 2 more States to our win predictions thus far.

    62% reporting in Virginia – 59.2% Romney, 40.8% Rep. Ron Paul

    14% reporting in Vermont – 39% Romney, 26.7% Paul, 24% Santorum, 7.7% Gingrich

    5% reporting from Georgia – 46.2% Gingrich, 25% Santorum, 22.3% Romney, 5.1% Paul


  • 8:15pm
  • 75% reporting in Virginia – 59% Romney, 41% Rep. Ron Paul

    18% reporting in Vermont – 38.6% Romney, 26.9% Paul, 24.3% Santorum, 7.7% Gingrich

    10% reporting from Georgia – 47.2% Gingrich, 24.1% Santorum, 22.7% Romney, 5.2% Paul

    Massachusetts – 66.9% Romney, 15.4% Santorum, 10.1% Paul, 5% Gingrich


  • 8:31pm
  • 84% reporting in Virginia – 58.8% Romney, 41.2% Rep. Ron Paul

    27% reporting in Vermont – 39.7% Romney, 26.3% Paul, 23.7% Santorum, 7.8% Gingrich

    21% reporting from Georgia – 48% Gingrich, 22.6% Santorum, 22.4% Romney, 5.6% Paul

    3% reporting from Massachusetts – 74% Romney, 11.5% Santorum, 8.9% Paul, 4% Gingrich

    1% reporting in Tennessee – 48.8% Santorum, 27.7% Romney, 17.2% Gingrich, 6.6% Paul

    Ohio –

    Oklahoma –


  • 8:46pm
  • 92% reporting in Virginia – 59.3% Romney, 40.7% Rep. Ron Paul

    32% reporting in Vermont – 39.6% Romney, 25.9% Paul, 24.2% Santorum, 7.8% Gingrich

    29% reporting from Georgia – 48.4% Gingrich, 23% Santorum, 21.8% Romney, 5.7% Paul

    12% reporting from Massachusetts – 73.2% Romney, 12% Santorum, 8.8% Paul, 4.5% Gingrich

    2% reporting in Tennessee – 44.1% Santorum, 28.5% Romney, 17.6% Gingrich, 7.2% Paul

    Ohio –

    Oklahoma –


  • 9:03pm – Santorum projected to win Tennessee
  • 97% reporting in Virginia – 59.2% Romney, 40.8% Rep. Ron Paul

    39% reporting in Vermont – 40.4% Romney, 25.5% Paul, 23.3% Santorum, 8.1% Gingrich

    41% reporting from Georgia – 48.7% Gingrich, 22.4% Santorum, 21.9% Romney, 6% Paul

    30% reporting from Massachusetts – 72% Romney, 12.3% Santorum, 9.3% Paul, 4.8% Gingrich

    8% reporting in Tennessee – 42.4% Santorum, 28.3% Romney, 19.1% Gingrich, 7.6% Paul

    17% reporting in Oklahoma – 35% Santorum, 27.3% Gingrich, 26.4% Romney, 9.8% Paul

    11% reporting from Ohio – 38% Santorum, 37.2% Romney, 15.2% Gingrich, 8.3% Paul


  • 9:47pm
  • 100% reporting in Virginia – 59.4% Romney, 40.6% Rep. Ron Paul

    55% reporting in Vermont – 40.5% Romney, 24.8% Paul, 23.5% Santorum, 8.4% Gingrich

    79% reporting from Georgia – 48.4% Gingrich, 24% Santorum, 20.4% Romney, 6.3% Paul

    73% reporting from Massachusetts – 72.3% Romney, 12% Santorum, 9.5% Paul, 4.7% Gingrich

    56% reporting in Tennessee – 38% Santorum, 28.1% Romney, 23.1% Gingrich, 8.9% Paul

    75% reporting in Oklahoma – 34.5% Santorum, 27.3% Gingrich, 27% Romney, 10.1% Paul

    36% reporting from Ohio – 38.9% Santorum, 35.7% Romney, 15.1% Gingrich, 9% Paul

    14% reporting from North Dakota – 40.5% Santorum, 26.3% Romney, 25 Paul, 8.2 Gingrich


  • 10:17pm
  • 100% reporting in Virginia – 59.4% Romney, 40.6% Rep. Ron Paul

    64% reporting in Vermont – 40.6% Romney, 24.9% Paul, 23.4% Santorum, 8.3% Gingrich

    81% reporting from Georgia – 47.9% Gingrich, 24.8% Santorum, 20.2% Romney, 6.3% Paul

    89% reporting from Massachusetts – 72.1% Romney, 12.1% Santorum, 9.5% Paul, 4.7% Gingrich

    74% reporting in Tennessee – 37.5% Santorum, 27.8% Romney, 23.7% Gingrich, 9.1% Paul

    87% reporting in Oklahoma – 33.8% Santorum, 28.1% Gingrich, 27.2% Romney, 9.9% Paul

    61% reporting from Ohio – 38.2% Santorum, 36.4% Romney, 14.7% Gingrich, 9.4% Paul

    52% reporting from North Dakota – 39.7% Santorum, 27.1% Paul, 25% Romney, 8.3% Gingrich

    5% Idaho reporting – 66% Romney, 15% Paul, 12.7 Santorum, 6.1% Gingrich


  • 10:37pm- Santorum projected to win North Dakota
  • Key point to keep in mind about Ohio – Mitt Romney appears to have won Republican voters by 5% over Rick Santorum, but exit polls suggest that 6% of all Ohio voters were Democrats. Does that mean Santorum is stealing votes from President Obama? Or are Democrats just trying to ensure that Romney does not face off against the President? Either way, a trend is apparent.

    100% reporting in Virginia – 59.4% Romney, 40.6% Rep. Ron Paul

    67% reporting in Vermont – 40.5% Romney, 24.9% Paul, 23.5% Santorum, 8.2% Gingrich

    87% reporting from Georgia – 47.7% Gingrich, 25.1% Romney, 20% Santorum, 6.4% Paul

    93% reporting from Massachusetts – 72.1% Romney, 12.1% Santorum, 9.5% Paul, 4.7% Gingrich

    83% reporting in Tennessee – 37.3% Santorum, 28% Romney, 23.8% Gingrich, 9.1% Paul

    91% reporting in Oklahoma – 33.7% Santorum, 28.2% Romney, 27.2% Gingrich, 9.9% Paul

    69% reporting from Ohio – 37.8% Santorum, 37% Romney, 14.6% Gingrich, 9.3% Paul

    63% reporting from North Dakota – 40.1% Santorum, 26.9% Paul, 24.5% Romney, 8.5% Gingrich

    16% Idaho reporting – 77.7% Romney, 11.5% Paul, 7.6% Santorum, 3.1% Gingrich


  • 11:35pm
  • Mitt Romney likely to win Ohio, Idaho

    100% reporting in Virginia – 59.4% Romney, 40.6% Rep. Ron Paul

    73% reporting in Vermont – 40.4% Romney, 25.1% Paul, 23.4% Santorum, 8.3% Gingrich

    96% reporting from Georgia – 47.4% Gingrich, 25.7% Romney, 19.6% Santorum, 6.5% Paul

    96% reporting from Massachusetts – 72% Romney, 12.1% Santorum, 9.6% Paul, 4.7% Gingrich

    94% reporting in Tennessee – 37.3% Santorum, 27.9% Romney, 23.8% Gingrich, 9.1% Paul

    96% reporting in Oklahoma – 33.8% Santorum, 28.1% Romney, 27.4% Gingrich, 9.7% Paul

    91% reporting from Ohio – 37.7% Romney, 37.2% Santorum, 14.7% Gingrich, 9.3% Paul

    99% reporting from North Dakota – 40% Santorum, 27.1% Paul, 24.3% Romney, 8.6% Gingrich

    50% Idaho reporting – 77.1% Romney, 11.5% Paul, 8.8% Santorum, 2.5% Gingrich


  • 12:32pm – Mitt Romney projected to win Idaho
  • Approximate delegate gains so far today – Romney 200, Santorum 60, Gingrich 70, Paul 10.

    100% reporting in Virginia – 59.4% Romney, 40.6% Rep. Ron Paul

    75% reporting in Vermont – 40.3% Romney, 25.1% Paul, 23.4% Santorum, 8.3% Gingrich

    96% reporting from Georgia – 47.5% Gingrich, 25.7% Romney, 19.6% Santorum, 6.5% Paul

    98% reporting from Massachusetts – 72.1% Romney, 12.1% Santorum, 9.6% Paul, 4.6% Gingrich

    99% reporting in Tennessee – 37.3% Santorum, 27.8% Romney, 24.1% Gingrich, 9.1% Paul

    100% reporting in Oklahoma – 33.8% Santorum, 28.1% Romney, 27.5% Gingrich, 9.6% Paul

    99% reporting from Ohio – 38% Romney, 37% Santorum, 14.6% Gingrich, 9.3% Paul

    100% reporting from North Dakota – 39.7% Santorum, 28.1% Paul, 23.7% Romney, 8.5% Gingrich

    77% Idaho reporting – 68.6% Romney, 16.6% Paul, 12.2% Santorum, 2.5% Gingrich


    More data shortly. Current count of correctly predicted State wins since February 14, 2012 – 7 out of 10 (Virginia was an error for our predicitions at the outset, we forgot to mention who would win in Alaska and Oklahoma though we factored in the delegates)


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